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TUE · AUG 25 · 5:48 PM JST
BY SAVVY GIANT · DAILY · TEXT · AUDIO · JST
Pre & Post Market + Weekends & Holidays
Japan Markets

Tokyo slips into Wednesday's Nvidia countdown having lost ground for a second day, chip and AI names sold again while Seoul's Kospi staged a violent round trip from a 4%-plus selloff to a positive close. A hotter-than-expected Bank of Japan inflation gauge, a fresh push on the food consumption tax, and a strengthening typhoon round out the day.

Nikkei falls 0.8% to 64,980.53 as chip names sell off again ahead of Nvidia

The Nikkei 225 closed Tuesday's session down 0.8% at 64,980.53, extending Monday's near 3-week-low print, as investors sold semiconductor and electronics shares for a second straight day ahead of Nvidia's Wednesday earnings, according to News On Japan. Kioxia (285A) fell 2.8%, Advantest (6857) dropped 3.6% and Panasonic Holdings (6752) declined 4.0%, while TOPIX held up noticeably better, supported by financials, transport, shipping, communications and domestic-demand names outside the AI complex. The split is now the clearest read on Tokyo's mood into Thursday morning's print: anything with direct AI-hardware exposure is trading defensively, while the rest of the market is shrugging it off.

Seoul's Kospi swings from a 4%-plus rout to a positive close — a leading indicator Tokyo can't ignore

South Korea's Kospi opened 2.4% lower at 6,535.93 and fell more than 4% intraday before staging a full reversal to close up 0.68% at 6,742.74, according to Korea JoongAng Daily. The swing traces almost entirely to Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, both trading on the same Nvidia-anticipation and memory-sentiment whiplash pressuring Tokyo's own chip-equipment names — the difference Tuesday is that Seoul's memory makers found buyers by the close, while Kioxia, Advantest and Tokyo Electron did not. Korean memory sentiment has moved a day or two ahead of Tokyo's own chip-equipment names before, and a Wednesday recovery attempt in Japan on the back of Tuesday's Seoul reversal wouldn't be a surprise.

BOJ Watch: the central bank's own inflation gauge runs hotter than the headline number

The Bank of Japan's own underlying-inflation measure — which strips out fresh food and the effect of government subsidies — rose 2.3% year-on-year in July, well above the 1.8% headline national core CPI released last week and comfortably above the BOJ's 2% target, according to Bloomberg. The policy rate holds at 1.0% — its highest since 1995 — with the next meeting set for September 17-18, and this second, stickier reading gives the board's hawks a harder number to point to than a subsidy-distorted headline print. USD/JPY firmed through the session on the combination of hardening hike bets and fresh Fed-path speculation, with EUR/JPY still trading in the mid-180s, within sight of its multi-year top.

LDP tax panel presses ahead on cutting the food consumption tax from 8% to 1%

Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party's joint tax and social-security panels held further discussions Tuesday on Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's plan to cut the consumption tax on food from 8% to 1% for two years starting April 2027, after the plan was virtually approved in a joint meeting Monday with 65 members in favor and 9 opposed, according to Nippon.com. The rate would return to 8% in 2029, and the measure has already drawn open opposition from senior party figures — a fiscal-stimulus push moving forward despite real intra-party resistance, worth watching for any JGB-market reaction once the formal tax-reform request is submitted at month's end.

Japan weighs tax breaks to unlock capital trapped in underperforming business units

Japan's government is considering deferring roughly 30% of the corporate tax on gains from non-core business sales indefinitely, as long as companies reinvest the proceeds within several years into acquisitions aligned with their core operations, according to Investing.com. A government study cited in the report found roughly 65% of Japanese corporate capital remains tied up in businesses failing to generate adequate returns, and the plan — modeled on Germany's early-2000s reform that helped dismantle its own cross-shareholding networks — is expected to be submitted as part of tax-reform requests by month's end, with final approval targeted for year-end. It's the latest piece of the Takaichi-era governance push, arriving in a year that's already produced $353 billion in Japanese M&A activity, with divestitures alone accounting for $44.7 billion of it.

KKR to acquire Japanese beauty platform Ci FLAVORS

KKR agreed to acquire Ci FLAVORS, the Japanese beauty and lifestyle platform behind brands including andHoney, 8 THE THALASSO and MOROCCAN BEAUTY, from its founder and existing investors including L Catterton, eBeauty Group and Yanagi Capital Partners, according to Investing.com. Terms weren't disclosed. KKR's Japan private-equity head Eiji Yatagawa said the firm plans to use its global consumer network to back the company's international expansion, category growth and further acquisitions — one more data point in a private-equity market that keeps finding willing sellers among Japan's founder-owned consumer brands.

A strengthening typhoon closes in on Okinawa and Amami

Typhoon Saudel, rated "very strong" by the Japan Meteorological Agency, is forecast to track toward the Nansei Islands and approach Okinawa and Amami through Thursday, with sustained winds of 40 meters per second and gusts to 60 strong enough to partially collapse homes, according to Weathernews. The storm's central pressure is expected to rise only slightly, from 940 to 950 hectopascals, as it nears the islands — a marginal weakening that won't do much to blunt the risk to the region's southern air and sea routes over the next two days.

Global
Wall Street heads into Wednesday with Nvidia the only trade that matters

Options traders are now pricing a roughly $280 billion swing in Nvidia's market value around Wednesday's earnings — more than the individual value of about 90% of S&P 500 constituents — with the implied 5.4% move actually smaller than the 6.5% priced ahead of May's report, according to The Star. Analysts read the smaller implied move as a sign the market now expects more predictable prints from Nvidia than the 10%-to-20% surprises of the early AI-boom quarters, according to Investing.com's Morning Bid — though "predictable" and "safe" aren't the same thing with $280 billion on the table either way.

Druckenmiller tells his own former protégé that Bessent's bond-buyback plan is a mistake

Stanley Druckenmiller, who mentored Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent earlier in his career, wrote in a Wall Street Journal op-ed that the Treasury's expanded bond-buyback program — now running to roughly $4 billion — is a mistake that will cost the government credibility without solving the underlying problem, according to Bloomberg. "Governments defending prices against fundamentals always lose," Druckenmiller wrote, arguing the long bond yield is effectively the most important price in the world and that intervening in it risks the same trap that has swallowed every government that's tried to manage a price the market wants to set itself. It's a pointed break from a mentor toward his own protégé, and a reminder that skepticism about the fiscal picture isn't confined to one side of the aisle.

Trump's Canada tariff escalation draws a defiant response from Ontario

Ontario Premier Doug Ford said he's ready to show the US "who has the power" after President Trump's weekend announcement that tariffs on Canadian cars, trucks and auto parts will double to 50% from January 2027, according to Business Insider. The dispute has hardened into what the New York Times now describes as an all-out trade war, with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney still promising to retaliate "dollar for dollar" against a US administration that just doubled tariffs on its closest trading partner overnight.

Iran sanctions widen as Tehran vows retaliation and Netanyahu makes a fresh claim

Iran vowed to retaliate after the US widened its sanctions campaign to five new sectors — digital assets, technology, gold, aviation and shipping — targeting more than 60 individuals, entities and vessels, according to Investing.com. Brent crude held roughly steady as traders weighed the sanctions' actual bite against Iran's own claim of a large new gas discovery, according to Investing.com. Separately, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Monday that Iran had attempted to assassinate one of his two sons, an unverified claim made without further detail as tensions between the two countries remain near their highest point since the February war, according to Al Jazeera.

Gold and Bitcoin both push to fresh highs on the same dollar-debasement trade

Gold hit a fresh three-month high on dollar weakness and the Treasury's bond-buyback plans, according to CNBC, while Bitcoin pushed above $80,000 for the first time since May as the crypto rally gathered pace, according to CNBC and CoinDesk. Both are effectively the same trade Druckenmiller is warning about from the bond side — capital moving away from the dollar and into anything that isn't a government promise, according to Nikkei Asia.

Alibaba's $10.2 billion AI share sale hammers the stock, but the AI capex race doesn't slow down for anyone

Alibaba shares fell 8% after the company finalized an HK$80 billion ($10.2 billion) share placement — the largest-ever primary follow-on by a Hong Kong-listed company — priced at an 8.4% discount to raise funds for its AI buildout, according to Bloomberg. The proceeds go toward Alibaba's October pledge to spend 380 billion yuan ($56.5 billion) on AI infrastructure over three years, following Alphabet and Intel into the market for AI-driven equity raises this year, according to the Motley Fool. It's another data point in the same story running through Broadcom's rising credit costs this week: financing the AI buildout is getting more expensive across every channel, equity included.

Unitree's Shanghai debut goes from a 629% pop to a 45% crash in a week

Shares of Chinese robotics maker Unitree have fallen roughly 45% since their August 19 Shanghai debut, when the stock briefly traded 629% above its IPO price for a $66 billion valuation before closing up 460% on day one, according to the South China Morning Post and Yahoo Finance. The company's market value has since fallen to roughly $36 billion, and the round trip is reviving the same question hanging over every hot China listing this year: how much of the humanoid-robotics enthusiasm reflects actual commercial reality versus a scarcity-driven IPO structure that leaves little room for skeptics to push back.

Tech
Nvidia tells hyperscalers to expect a 15% price hike on AI servers as memory costs soar

Nvidia has informed some of its largest customers that prices on servers built around its Grace Blackwell and Vera Rubin chips will rise by more than 15% when the next generation starts shipping early next year, driven almost entirely by soaring memory costs, according to Tom's Hardware. Contract manufacturers building racks for Microsoft, Google and Oracle have already begun notifying customers of the increases, and on a system that can run several million dollars, a 15% bump adds hundreds of thousands of dollars per rack across deployments running to thousands of units — real evidence that the same memory-supply squeeze pressuring Tokyo's chip-equipment names this week is now showing up directly in Nvidia's own cost structure.

Amazon raises hardware prices up to 60%, and it's the same memory story from a different angle

Amazon has hiked prices on its own electronics hardware by as much as 60%, explicitly blaming a memory shortage, according to TechCrunch. It's the clearest consumer-facing evidence yet that the DRAM and NAND supply crunch driving this week's Samsung, Micron and Nvidia headlines has already reached retail shelves — one more reason the memory-maker and equipment names trading defensively in Tokyo this week are sitting on a genuinely tightening supply picture, whatever Tuesday's stock reaction said about sentiment.

The SEC is now probing the AI hedge fund that nearly blew up this summer

The SEC has subpoenaed Wall Street banks over Situational Awareness, the AI-focused hedge fund that nearly imploded earlier this year, according to the Financial Times and TechCrunch. The investigation is a reminder that the AI trade's excesses aren't confined to public-market valuations — leveraged, concentrated bets on the theme found their way deep into the hedge-fund world too, and regulators are only now working through what happened.

Amazon Web Services' backlog hits $496 billion as the hyperscaler capex race keeps accelerating

Amazon Web Services' contracted backlog has reached $496 billion, according to the Motley Fool, another data point in the same hyperscaler capex story running through this week's Nvidia anticipation and Alibaba's own AI-funding share sale — the demand side of the AI buildout keeps showing up as hard, bookable revenue even as the financing side gets visibly more expensive.

Sam Altman admits the AI economic timeline he sold investors was wrong

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman acknowledged that mainstream AI adoption is going to take longer than he previously suggested, according to Gizmodo — a notable walk-back after Altman's earlier public comments calling the market's AI pessimism a buying opportunity. It's a small but real crack in the tone from the industry's most prominent cheerleader, landing in the same week the market is bracing for Nvidia to either validate or puncture the broader AI-spending thesis.

Oura eyes a September IPO that could value the smart-ring maker above $16 billion

Oura and some of its backers are seeking to raise up to $3 billion in a US IPO as soon as next month, at a valuation north of $16 billion, according to TechCrunch. It's a sizable listing for a wearables company, and one more sign the IPO window is genuinely open again for well-positioned consumer-tech names, not just AI infrastructure plays.

Lifestyle
France and Saudi Arabia team up on a $7 billion Dragon Ball Z theme park outside Paris

France and Saudi Arabia have agreed to build a $7 billion Dragon Ball Z theme park near Paris, according to Al Jazeera and IGN. "You know my passion for manga," one French official reportedly said of the project, according to Kotaku — a genuinely surreal pairing of Gulf sovereign capital and one of Japan's most globally beloved manga franchises, built on European soil.

Australia bans AI-made songs from its official music charts

Australia's music-industry body ARIA announced that songs created mostly or entirely by AI will be excluded from its official charts, according to Techmeme and the BBC. The rule follows an AI-generated song becoming the most-played track on Australian radio in July, and it's the clearest line any major national chart has drawn yet in the growing fight over what "made by an artist" actually means.

Persona marks its 30th anniversary with a Beard Papa's cream-puff collaboration

The Persona video game franchise is celebrating its 30th anniversary with a special collaboration with Beard Papa's, the Japanese cream-puff chain, according to IGN. It's exactly the kind of unlikely, well-loved crossover Japan does better than anywhere else — a beloved RPG franchise meeting a beloved dessert chain for a limited run.

Haneda unveils a new wood-finished boarding area

Haneda Airport has opened a new boarding area finished in wood, a design choice meant to soften one of the world's busiest airports, according to News On Japan. It's a small touch, but a deliberate one — Haneda has spent years quietly investing in exactly this kind of detail to stay ahead of the region's other mega-hubs.

Nippon Professional Baseball's own export keeps grinding away in Chicago

Munetaka Murakami picked up his first hit in two games in the White Sox lineup, though the team lost, according to NHK. It's a quiet night by his own standards, but he's still the latest data point in Japanese baseball's ongoing pipeline to the majors — one more name for fans back home to check on every morning regardless of the score.

We'll close on this one. The voice of Goku turns 90 — and gets a new wardrobe to match. Masako Nozawa, the voice actress who has played Son Goku in Dragon Ball for nearly four decades, celebrated her 90th birthday with a new line of apparel, according to Anime News Network. It lands in the same week France and Saudi Arabia just agreed to build a $7 billion Dragon Ball theme park outside Paris — proof that the character she's voiced since 1986 isn't just still going, it's still growing, one very content 90-year-old at a time.

Scraps
Markets & Tech
Disclosure shows the purchase came in June.
Years after it was first teased on stage.
Well below where bankers once pitched the fast-fashion giant.
Temu's slowing growth overshadowed the headline beat.
World & Geopolitics
Seoul positions itself as the go-between.
Comes with the midterms looming.
Part of a broader immigration-enforcement push.
A major diplomatic shift completed this week.
Culture
Costumes and personal items from the Queen frontman.
A late casting shakeup for the reboot.
Brief statement, no further detail given.
Two farewells sharing one stage.
‹ swipe to explore all sections ›
CALENDAR · WEEK AHEAD
TUE · AUG 25 · TODAY
08:30Japan BOJ Core CPI y/yMACRO
US Treasury Sec Bessent SpeaksMACRO
US CB Consumer ConfidenceMACRO
WED · AUG 26
21:30US Core PCE Price Index m/mMACRO
21:30US Prelim GDP q/qMACRO
~05:00Intuit Inc. earningsEARNINGS
THU · AUG 27
21:30US GDP estimate (BEA, quarterly cycle)MACRO
US Unemployment ClaimsMACRO
~05:00Salesforce Inc. earningsEARNINGS
~05:00CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. earningsEARNINGS
~05:00Nvidia Corp. earningsEARNINGS
~05:00Synopsys Inc. earningsEARNINGS
FRI · AUG 28
08:30Japan Tokyo Core CPI y/yMACRO
21:30US PCE / Core PCE (July 2026)MACRO
US Prelim Benchmark Payrolls RevisionMACRO
~03:00US Fed Chairman Warsh SpeaksMACRO
Japan Unemployment RateMACRO
Japan Industrial Production (prelim)MACRO
TUE · SEP 1
Medtronic plc earningsEARNINGS
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